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SEC FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS: WEEK 11

This sort of article only works if there is some sense of accountability. With that said this is how we are doing so far in 2017:

  • Last week: 9-0
  • Misses: No misses. We are hitting a groove.
  • Closest prediction: Georgia and Alabama both by 14 were predictions that hit the mark as both won 24-10.
  • Worst prediction: Arkansas by 28. The Hogs beat Coastal Carolina by a single point (39-38).
  • Season so far: 62-23

We are up to eight games this week as a couple of SEC schools play teams they should take down in non-conference play. Here are the predictions:

Saturday, November 11

(24) LSU vs. Arkansas – Squeaking past a horrible team like Coastal Carolina late in the season is not a good look. That Arkansas had to rally back to beat the Chanticleers 39-38 is just brutal. It was a win that felt like a loss in the same weekend that LSU slowed down Alabama on offense in a way that few have done in 2017 to the point that it felt like a moral victory. LSU can fight its way to a double-digit win season, but it will need a win here to do so. The Tigers will just have way too much at home for the Razorbacks. Prediction: LSU by 14.

Ole Miss vs. Louisiana – A couple of good offenses meet a couple of bad (very bad) defenses in Oxford as the Rebels take a break from conference play. This was scheduled as one of those cupcake games, but that was before the Ole Miss defense decided to no-show for games in 2017. The Rebels though picked up a huge win with a late touchdown over Kentucky last weekend, the sort of win that can propel a team to bigger things. Prediction: Ole Miss by 14.

South Carolina vs. Florida – Florida was blown out last week by Missouri in a game where the Gators were never going to have the offensive firepower to keep up. South Carolina though is a different proposition entirely as the Gamecocks have a habit of winning low scoring, ugly contests against teams they are supposed to beat. Florida has no quarterback and not much of a running game, while a loss here would put Florida out of bowl contention with two games left in the season. Prediction: South Carolina by 10.

(10) Auburn vs. (1) Georgia – Auburn has two home games over the span of a few weeks where they get chances to pick up monumental wins. The first of those comes against a Georgia team that has dominated on its way to 9-0 and an SEC East title. The Georgia rushing defense has allowed a total of four rushing touchdowns all year, but this type of game is the reason that Auburn went out and grabbed Jarrett Stidham as a transfer to lead the team. If the offensive line can keep Stidham clean then he can make things happen for the Tigers on offense. Prediction: Georgia by 3.

Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky – Can Kentucky rebound after a soul-sucking last-second defeat against Mississippi? If the Wildcats are slow out of the gate then they could be in trouble against a Derek Mason led Commodores team that needs to win two of its last three games to gain bowl eligibility. Vandy quarterback Kyle Shurmur doesn’t turn the ball over – he has 20 touchdowns and three interceptions on the year – and his steady play will be the difference. Prediction: Vanderbilt by 6.

(16) Mississippi State vs. (2) Alabama – Starkville is not a fun place to play for visiting teams. Alabama may be 9-0,  but the Crimson Tide have been held close enough along the way (Texas A&M, LSU) that there is a feeling in the air they can be beaten. This only Alabama’s third true road game of the season and they face a Mississippi State squad that is dangerous enough to cause an upset and throw the College Football Playoff race into disarray. Nick Fitzgerald will need to have the best game of his career for a shock to materialize. Prediction: Alabama by 10.

Texas A&M vs. New Mexico – New Mexico has lost four straight and this Texas A&M squad needs a win for Kevin Sumlin after being taken apart by Mississippi State and Auburn in back to back weeks. The Aggies have collapsed down the stretch before, they will halt that trend this season. Prediction: Texas A&M by 21.

Missouri vs. Tennessee – The Tigers and the Vols both won last week, but one of these teams looks to have a legitimate offense while the other is piecing things together as they go along. Mizzou quarterback Drew Lock leads the nation with 31 touchdown passes and he will bag a few more here as the folks in Tennessee continue to care more about their future coaching search than the product being put on the field. Oh, and Tennessee might be down to a walk-on quarterback by the time this one is over. Prediction: Missouri by 17.

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